Is China gearing up for all out conflict with the USA

Is China gearing up for all out conflict with the USA

China’s island building in the South China Sea is undermining security in that region and could result in all out conflict according to U.S. Defense Secretary Mr Ash Cater.

This comes after the Pentagon stated that China has placed heavy artillery units on one of the islands. Ash Carter, speaking at the defence conference in Singapore, said “China has reclaimed over 2,000 acres, more than all other claimants combined”.. and the United States was “deeply concerned” about the scale of the land reclamation and that it boosts “the risk of conflict.”

Mr Carter has insisted that the US would continue to operate in the region despite the Chinese insistence that Beijing is informed well in advance of plans to enter certain areas in what are mostly regarded as international waters and air space.

Turning an underwater rock into an airfield simply does not afford the rights of sovereignty or permit restrictions on international air or maritime transit.” Carter said

Despite the warning the comments were less hostile than some made by other US diplomats in recent years.  A Chinese official responded by telling Reuters news agency that “This year, Carter’s speech is more balanced…It’s helpful for building new ties between China and the U.S. as major powers.”

China is building on many reefs, including the Spratly Islands that lie 500 miles off the Chinese coast, and turning them into islands. Under the UN’s Law and Sea Convention this could allow it to try and claim a huge economic exclusion zone in which it controlled fishing, energy production, and even air travel authority in what is among the busiest transport routes in the world, they could also become permanent military bases.

The resource rich South China Sea is an area of ongoing tension as China, Taiwan, Malaysia, Brunei, Vietnam, and the Philippines all have overlapping claims. Japan and China both claim islands in the East China Sea. This week they moved closer to an agreement to open a hotline between them to prevent incidents at sea escalating into all out war.

The Singapore conference is being held in the shadow of China’s new “open seas protection” policy, in which it switched its military posture from air defence to both offence and defence, and criticized many countries which took “provocative actions” on what it called its reefs and islands. The move underlines China’s intention to be the rule maker in that region.

This will inevitably mean it bumps up against the mighty United States Navy, which is the de facto guardian of the sea lanes in that region including the strategically vital Strait of Malacca.

How that relationship is managed appears destined to be the most important diplomatic story of the 21st century.

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